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The mainstream news is completely hysterical, writes Godders.
Yes, there is an overwhelming case for immuno-suppressed persons to self-isolate, especially if such persons have certain co-morbidities. Unsurprisingly, this self-isolating group will also include frail pensioners. All persons in this vulnerable cohort, who ought to self-isolate for the preservation of health, already know that self-isolation is required.
However, for everyone else in the population, i.e. for 85% of the population, the worst symptoms that the virus is likely to cause will correspond to a mild case of pneumonia. Thus: a lot of coughing; a mild fever; and the necessity of sleeping propped up for a week (in order to aid breathing at night). Arguably, this is only a few degrees worse than the seasonal ailments that afflict many of us each winter.
Requiring what seems to be nearly everyone to self-isolate means that a virus that ought to have swept through the nation in a 6-week maelstrom is instead going to drag on for 6 months – or possibly longer. This acute health crisis is being recklessly spun out in order to yield a real crisis in economic activity.
The economic effect of shutting down all public-facing activity will be extreme, particularly in countries which rely heavily on a service-sector economy such as Britain. Most people in the gig economy are facing economic ruin. Most smaller retail & customer-facing businesses will be wiped out. There has never been an economic slow down of the magnitude of the coming shut down. Not even in the great depression of the 1930’s.
The only person who will be relatively unaffected in the UK is the public sector worker, who is paid regardless of his actual output.
When all is done and dusted, many individuals and businesses will be in crippling debt. So much debt that there will be gnashing of teeth and crying out to the heavens for amelioration. I wonder, who might be ready to step in with public assistance? Who might be standing by to provide emergency remedy & bailout? Why, big government of course! Yes, big government will come to the rescue and, in the immediate aftermath, big government will be praised. However, since nothing is given for free, this bailout will extract a heavy toll. In terms of our liberty and our freedom as independent actors, all of us will be diminished. The state will control yet more of our lives and ancient and documented liberties will have been eroded yet further.
If I am wrong, then someone please explain the current hype, the current hysteria and the current hullabaloo, which is now out of all proportion to the current threat. In reality, self-isolation ought to be indicated for the vulnerable cohort only. Fit persons are in a position to catch the virus and fight it off, thereby raising herd immunity. After a 6-week maelstrom of infection, there would be sufficient herd immunity such that the rate of new infection would decline precipitously. There is no indication for a complete shut down of economic activity.